Market Snapshot: Hypersonic Weapons

Operating in extreme environments presents many technical challenges. When these environments include the demands of hypersonic flight in the upper atmosphere, the challenges are even greater. The Congressional Research Service reports that the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) is pursuing two types of hypersonic weapons technologies: boost-glide systems that place a maneuverable glide vehicle atop a ballistic missile or rocket booster, and cruise missiles that would use high-speed, air-breathing engines to travel to hypersonic speeds.

A leading difference between missiles armed with hypersonic glide vehicles (HGVs) and missiles armed with ballistic reentry vehicles is their ability to maneuver and change course after they are released from their rocket boosters. Furthermore, hypersonic vehicles operating in the upper atmosphere are subject to extreme speeds, these may exceed Mach 5, which is five times the speed of sound. These vehicles may also experience temperatures of over 1,000 degrees Celsius, oxidation from the atmosphere and tremendous aerodynamic shear loads. In addition to materials and coatings able to withstand these extreme environments, these platforms will necessitate flight control systems that are able to make rapid adjustments in response to the surrounding and rapidly changing flight conditions.

Despite these challenges, analysts report that the hypersonic missile market is expected to be valued at $130.50 million by 2028 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2% during the forecast period (2023-2028). Deloitte notes that in the United States, annual unclassified defense spending requests for hypersonic technology have grown at a 26% CAGR since 2014 and already total more than $2.6 billion. This annual domestic spending is expected to grow to $5 billion by 2025 while the international hypersonic market was predicted to grow at a CAGR of 7.23% between 2018 and 2022. Furthermore, the hypersonic market has received more than $328 million in venture capital investment since 2015.

The development of hypersonic platforms and enabling technologies is being carried out by groups including prime contractors, government and universities, and small businesses. The leading prime contractors appear to be Lockheed Martin and Raytheon. Raytheon’s Hypersonic Air-breathing Weapon Concept (HACM) leverages Northrop Grumman scramjet propulsion system with the team reportedly on schedule to deliver a system to the Air Force, which has said it plans for the missile to be operational by fiscal year 2027. Lockheed Martin is partnering with the U.S. Navy to integrate hypersonic strike capability onto surface ships with the Conventional Prompt Strike (CPS) weapon system that will be integrated onto ZUMWALT-class guided missile destroyers (DDGs). The CPS is a hypersonic boost-glide weapon system that enables long range missile flight at speeds greater than Mach 5, with high survivability. Additionally, the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) is developing systems to counter hypersonic missiles with its Glide Phase Interceptor, which is a missile designed to shoot down a hypersonic weapon in the middle (or glide phase) of its flight.

In terms of research and development activities for enabling capabilities, researchers at the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) are developing coatings that can stand up to the extreme environments of hypersonic flight in the upper atmosphere. The University of Texas at San Antonio is working on Pressure-Sensitive Paint Measurements of a Hypersonic Vehicle in support of NASA’s ULI Full Airframe System Technology (FAST), and the University of Virginia is also working on advanced hypersonic materials. To learn more about research and innovation in hypersonics there are several conferences happening in 2023 and 2024 –  the 5th Annual Hypersonic Weapons Summit takes place in September and 3rd National Summit on Hypersonic Weapons Systems is happening in April 2024.

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Fusion Energy Overview

Fusion is a potential energy source and occurs when one or more lighter elements combine to form a heavier element, releasing energy in the process. [1] Devices designed to harness this energy are known as fusion reactors. [2]   A future fusion plant could use the heat produced by the fusion reaction to produce steam to drive turbines or generators that produce electricity. [3] For almost a century, scientists around the globe have been looking to recreate and harness the power of fusion energy. [4]  

Tokamak
Source: ITER

There are two commonly pursued technologies to create and control plasma. Magnetic confinement uses strong magnets to contain plasma. A widely used configuration known as a tokamak[5] uses powerful magnets to confine the plasma within a toroidal reaction vessel, with the magnetic fields keeping the plasma away from the walls of the vessel to prevent damage and unintended cooling of the plasma.[6]  

Examples of U.S. companies developing magnetic confinement systems are Commonwealth Fusion Systems, TAE Technologies, Tokamak Energy, Helion Energy, and Thea Energy. Inertial confinement uses high-power lasers or electrical discharges to compress a small capsule of fusion fuel to extreme temperatures and pressures for a short time. This approach is used, for example, in the National Ignition Facility at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. [7] Examples of U.S. companies developing inertial confinement systems are Xcimer Energy, Focused Energy, ZAP Energy, and Shine Technologies. In addition to these methods, several companies such as General Fusion,  are pursuing various other pathways to try to create and control fusion reactions, including a hybrid of both magnetic and inertial confinement approaches. [8]

Various fusion fuels are used to power these pursued pathways. According to the U.S. Department of Energy, once developed, first-generation fusion plants may likely use a combination of abundant deuterium and lithium as fuel. [9] Deuterium, lithium and tritium Deuterium-tritium is a highly studied fusion fuel and a likely basis for the first fusion power plants.[10] Lithium is a critical resource for fusion because of its material properties. Lithium is used to breed tritium, the key fuel for fusion. [11] The rare lithium-6 form of the metal, which makes up only 7.5 per cent of all naturally occurring lithium, is the most efficient for sustaining the fusion process. [12] Li-6 is banned in the U.S. because of the harmful mercury waste it generates. [13] So most fusion power concepts rely on “enriched” lithium, where the Li-6 content has been boosted. [14]

Several companies are investing in efforts aimed at commercializing fusion energy. [15] Many of these companies are startups that have raised over $100 million in the past few years. [16]  The global fusion energy market size is projected to reach $611.8 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 5.56% from 2025 to 2034. [17] 

Current State - Projections of the time to putting Fusion Energy on the Grid

As of October 2025, fusion reactors remain pre-commercial, with no system yet producing net energy. Fusion energy stakeholders provide varying timelines as to when fusion energy will become technically feasible as an energy source for the electrical grid and when it will become commercially viable.  Projections range from 10 years to several decades in the future. [18]   Some companies are claiming that they will achieve commercial fusion energy in the next few years[19] while other stakeholders and experts said fusion energy will take more than 20 years. The Fusion Industry Association reported that many commercial companies predict fusion industry will be commercially viable in the 2030’s time frame. [19] 

Source: The Global Fusion Industry in 2025—Fusion Industry Association

Other stakeholders and experts believe fusion energy might put electricity on the grid in 10 to 20 years, however, significant resources are required to do so.[20] The Figure below illustrates commercialization risks that fusion energy will face on the road to commercial deployment. According to the U.S. Department of Energy, the aspirational timeline as shown is strongly dependent on the level of both public and private investments. [21]

Commercialization risks for fusion

Source. U.S. Department of Energy, Fusion Energy Strategy 2024

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