Market Snapshot: Wildfire Protection

From air quality alerts to the loss of natural habitats and homes, the threat and impact of wildfires has become increasingly concerning in many parts of the United States. Approximately 85% of wildfires in the United States are caused by humans, whether it is from unattended campfires, arson, or equipment malfunctions – these events are costly and dangerous. Since 2000 an annual average of 70,025 wildfires have burned an annual average of 7.0 million acres, which is more than double the average annual acreage burned in the 1990s.

In 2022, 52% of the nationwide acreage burned by wildfires was on federal lands for which the federal government is responsible. The U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service (FS) carries out wildfire management and response across the National Forest System (NFS), and the Department of the Interior (DOI) manages wildfire response for national parks, wildlife refuges and preserves, other public lands, and reservations. As of June 1, 2023, approximately 18,300 wildfires have impacted over 511,000 acres within the U.S. this year. 

To address the wildfire crisis the Forest Service launched a comprehensive 10-year strategy in January 2022 focused on the communities most likely to be immediately impacted. The strategy, called “Confronting the Wildfire Crisis: A Strategy for Protecting Communities and Improving Resilience in America’s Forests,” combines congressional funding with scientific research and planning to create a national effort designed to increase the scale and pace of forest health treatments over the next decade. The Forest Service plans to work with states, Tribes and other partners to addresses wildfire risks to critical infrastructure, protect communities, and make forests more resilient through this strategy.

While wildfires are not the only fire-related threat, Grandview Research reports that the global fire protection system market size was valued at $77.88 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.6% from 2023 to 2030 – this market is not limited to wildfire, protection and includes myriad sources and systems. With a focus on wildfire prevention and management, the Institute for Defense & Government Advancement (IDGA) published a report covering spending and technology trends in this area. According to IDGA the wildfire prevention and management industry is pivoting from procurement to leasing of helicopters, aircraft and ground vehicles, to leasing with the Forest Service expected to spend $2.4 billion on leasing helicopters for wildfire purposes alone. Additionally, digital technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL) and robotics are playing a key role in the early detection of wildfires.

In March 2023 the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Forest Service announced an investment of $197 million in 100 project proposals benefiting 22 states and seven tribes, as part of the Community Wildfire Defense Grant program, which is funded by the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. Additionally, the Forest Service and other federal, tribal, state, and local partners  developed and are implementing a National Cohesive Wildland Fire Management Strategy that has three key components: Resilient Landscapes, Fire Adapted Communities, and Safe and Effective Wildfire Response. Other sources of potential funding for innovators includes the USDA Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) and Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) solicitations for qualified businesses.

To learn more about this area and more, several upcoming conferences and events may offer opportunities to interact with others working in this area, and discover more about the wildfire and wildland prevention space. The 2024 NFPA Conference & Expo® will be held in Orlando, Florida next June, and the International Association of Fire Chiefs is hosting several events in 2024.

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Fusion Energy Overview

Fusion is a potential energy source and occurs when one or more lighter elements combine to form a heavier element, releasing energy in the process. [1] Devices designed to harness this energy are known as fusion reactors. [2]   A future fusion plant could use the heat produced by the fusion reaction to produce steam to drive turbines or generators that produce electricity. [3] For almost a century, scientists around the globe have been looking to recreate and harness the power of fusion energy. [4]  

Tokamak
Source: ITER

There are two commonly pursued technologies to create and control plasma. Magnetic confinement uses strong magnets to contain plasma. A widely used configuration known as a tokamak[5] uses powerful magnets to confine the plasma within a toroidal reaction vessel, with the magnetic fields keeping the plasma away from the walls of the vessel to prevent damage and unintended cooling of the plasma.[6]  

Examples of U.S. companies developing magnetic confinement systems are Commonwealth Fusion Systems, TAE Technologies, Tokamak Energy, Helion Energy, and Thea Energy. Inertial confinement uses high-power lasers or electrical discharges to compress a small capsule of fusion fuel to extreme temperatures and pressures for a short time. This approach is used, for example, in the National Ignition Facility at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. [7] Examples of U.S. companies developing inertial confinement systems are Xcimer Energy, Focused Energy, ZAP Energy, and Shine Technologies. In addition to these methods, several companies such as General Fusion,  are pursuing various other pathways to try to create and control fusion reactions, including a hybrid of both magnetic and inertial confinement approaches. [8]

Various fusion fuels are used to power these pursued pathways. According to the U.S. Department of Energy, once developed, first-generation fusion plants may likely use a combination of abundant deuterium and lithium as fuel. [9] Deuterium, lithium and tritium Deuterium-tritium is a highly studied fusion fuel and a likely basis for the first fusion power plants.[10] Lithium is a critical resource for fusion because of its material properties. Lithium is used to breed tritium, the key fuel for fusion. [11] The rare lithium-6 form of the metal, which makes up only 7.5 per cent of all naturally occurring lithium, is the most efficient for sustaining the fusion process. [12] Li-6 is banned in the U.S. because of the harmful mercury waste it generates. [13] So most fusion power concepts rely on “enriched” lithium, where the Li-6 content has been boosted. [14]

Several companies are investing in efforts aimed at commercializing fusion energy. [15] Many of these companies are startups that have raised over $100 million in the past few years. [16]  The global fusion energy market size is projected to reach $611.8 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 5.56% from 2025 to 2034. [17] 

Current State - Projections of the time to putting Fusion Energy on the Grid

As of October 2025, fusion reactors remain pre-commercial, with no system yet producing net energy. Fusion energy stakeholders provide varying timelines as to when fusion energy will become technically feasible as an energy source for the electrical grid and when it will become commercially viable.  Projections range from 10 years to several decades in the future. [18]   Some companies are claiming that they will achieve commercial fusion energy in the next few years[19] while other stakeholders and experts said fusion energy will take more than 20 years. The Fusion Industry Association reported that many commercial companies predict fusion industry will be commercially viable in the 2030’s time frame. [19] 

Source: The Global Fusion Industry in 2025—Fusion Industry Association

Other stakeholders and experts believe fusion energy might put electricity on the grid in 10 to 20 years, however, significant resources are required to do so.[20] The Figure below illustrates commercialization risks that fusion energy will face on the road to commercial deployment. According to the U.S. Department of Energy, the aspirational timeline as shown is strongly dependent on the level of both public and private investments. [21]

Commercialization risks for fusion

Source. U.S. Department of Energy, Fusion Energy Strategy 2024

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